Upzoning Laws Don't Reduce Housing Costs and Undermine Local Control

Source: Helen Raleigh. "Politicians Wrongly Think More Zoning Laws Will Fix Housing Costs." March 26, 2026. thefederalist.com

The Gist

The author argues that new laws forcing cities to allow apartments and condos in single-family neighborhoods don't actually make housing cheaper - they just drive up prices and take away local control. She says politicians should focus on real problems like worker shortages and expensive regulations instead.

Conclusion

Politicians should abandon upzoning reforms as a solution to housing affordability because they are ineffective and erode local property rights

Premises

  1. Empirical evidence from Minneapolis, Oregon, and California shows upzoning resulted in less than 1% housing supply increase over 3-9 years
  2. Upzoning has actually increased housing costs, with Minneapolis seeing 3-5% higher single-family home prices and Oregon reaching $509,539 median home values with 19.7% annual increases
  3. Multiple communities have rejected upzoning through lawsuits, recall elections, and ballot measures, demonstrating widespread public opposition
  4. Single-family homes provide essential benefits like privacy, independence, and property control that Americans value and are willing to pay premiums for
  5. Other factors like construction worker shortages and regulatory burdens (such as Colorado's 'green' building codes adding tens of thousands in costs) are the real drivers of housing unaffordability

Assumptions

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